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Warren Monty Quesnell's avatar

It appears U.S. fell into a Thucydides trap, given that Russia was perceived as an emerging hegemonic power in the east, and the NATO was committed since the Bucharest Conference of 2008, to including Georgia and Ukraine into NATO, (despite assurances in the 90,s that NATO would not expand one inch further to the east). The assertion that “NATO was not looking ascendant in 2021” is ludicrous. Putin has affirmed repeatedly since 2008, that the inclusion of Ukraine in NATO was perceived as an existential threat, and a redline.

The Orange Revolution of 2004 and subsequent regime change coup in 2014, with Victoria Nuland in attendance), was perceived by Russia as a further act of aggression. The Minsk-2 agreements, facilitated by Germany and France, to dissuade Russia retaliation, has also been admitted by Angela Merkel, to be a deception in order to “buy time” for Ukraine. Indeed, NATO has trained and equipped an estimated 10k Ukrainian troops per year from 2014 to 2021.

As to the “unique and sovereign character of Ukraine, consider that Ukraine has shelled the civilian population of Donbas relentlessly since 2014.

Of further note, consider the following:

The Strangelovian Biden administration, just adopted this week, an unprecedented change in nuclear weapons policy doctrine, which clears the way for potential U.S. first strike, tactical nuke attack on Russian territory and forces in Ukraine. Putin countered in a speech this week that Russian policy will now afford preemptive, tactical nuke preemptive retaliation, if U.S. strike is determined to be imminent. What could go wrong?

Such is within context of a massive Winter offensive of 400,000 Russians troops on the immediate horizon, while a humanitarian disaster, with potential of millions of refugees throughout Ukraine unfolds. In Kiev, people are eating dog food, freezing, and shitting in ditches. Meanwhile, Ukrainian strategic stronghold in the city of Bahkmut is collapsing; 800 Ukrainian casualties per day being reported. Severe shortages of weapons, ammo, medical supplies, transportation, food, energy, and shelter. Ukrainian Commander describes situation on the ground as “Catastrophic”. . (Ref: The Duran, on Telegram, for daily updates out of Lindon and Greece). The U.S. UK, and EU have pushed their NATO expansionist, war of aggression wet dream, to the limit and have failed; the neo-con warmongers are now playing the threat of total war, and Nuclear Armageddon card. A Thucydides trap indeed, however, it is my contention that it’s NATO, U.S. UK, and EU that fell into a baited trap are doomed to extinction as hegemonic powers.

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Master Jack's avatar

Most excellent analysis. 5 Stars! Upgrading to paid.

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