9 Comments

In my view RAND specifically and US nuclear strategy more generally is best seen as an attempt to generate rational approaches under conditions of considerable fear and considerable uncertainty. The evolution of RAND thinking demonstrates this was a difficult process but one that evolved in good faith. We should also acknowledge that it ultimately prevailed, despite taking existential risks with the fate of civilisation. The evolution of the strategy shows decreasing hubris and increasing realism, despite periodic forays into 'warfighting' strategies.

The author is presenting a caricature of the trajectory of RAND and of US nuclear strategy, as well as a caricature of systems analysis and OR, which is clearly just the repetition of the unsubstantiated opinions of secondary and tertiary sources.

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Sorry to say I find this to be a poor essay. It assumes its premises rather arguing them or evidencing them, relies entirely on secondary sources. Where is the actual argument? It just seems to be a series of slurs. I would be sympathetic to a critique of RAND and its formulations. But I don't see anything worthy of the name here. I don't see any primary argument even being attempted. There is not even a coherent claim here, let alone evidence and argument for this claim. If I was marking this as an undergraduate essay I would advise a complete revision, starting with a clear thesis - it has none. Similarly if I was reviewing this for publication. Very disappointing.

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FDR provoked Japan into Attacking America at Pearl Harbour by encircling Japan with an Oil Blockade. He persuaded the Dutch to stop selling Japan Oil from Batavia in the Dutch East Indies; after he refused Japan Oil from Ports in California. Without Oil Japan`s Industry , Army and Navy were Toast.

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That was what needed to read to understand my son when he talks about the theory of games in all

this rigmarole we are living, so many things sum up, from the religious one that we never discard

because clearly it is there in front of our eyes. They are true believers in evil things without being completely evil themselves, they are also true malignant people, and also useful idiots. this person who is writting these words lived and worked in a community of German ex-pats of the 2nd World

War,. in one or other moment I related to many of them and I can tell you that you could find all

shades of them, also it is a community that has everything to do with nuclear development.

A vey interesting place to study, from the standpoint of modern history

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Projection is a real bear and this federal government has a bad case. Be careful who you call a --------, for you may be what you are pointing at.

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Great post, thanks!

I like JQA, but I'll say this: At least currently, the US ain't no "she." If the USA were one person, it would be a 15-y-o bully boy on meth and fentanyl, carrying a AR-15 and lookin' for a fight and someone to rape.

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Excellent review development of the psychic sickness the feeling of absolute power brings upon the heartless.

The culmination of this mental disease we see now in The War Against Russia for the fulfillment of their insane fantasy to be God? devoid of any spirit as mentioned by Adams.

Power corrupts absolutely and through this article we see it described.

This fantasy will fail and it will be interesting to watch it happen in the coming year.

The odds to win are impossible being reliant on a pure fantasy of fear of which the spirit of life simply ignores.

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